NIE: Hawaii
No, I’m not planning on attacking Hawaii…well, not literally…could be a serviceable metaphor though…yea, let’s go with that.
So Jon’s interview went well and he puts his likelihood at being accepted into their program at 95%. The thing is, the program begins in October and runs for months. Why is this important? Well it puts the plan of going to Hawaii in early December in serious jeopardy. I’m okay with that, I do want to go but I’m in no particular rush so I’m going to clear some space and dust a small shelf to put that plan on if the need arises. Going in the future will be just as awesome as going in the near future.
So 95% chance of being accepted leaves a 5% chance of being rejected – Hawaii would be a hell of a consolation prize though eh? Talk about your win-win scenario. I’ll add another 1% chance that the program will let him off or happen to have some kind of reading break or something right around when it would work for us to go. So that would put my estimate of an attack on Hawaii at 6%.
See why I play so many horses in the race?
San Francisco is pretty much a go and with Hawaii pretty much sidelined I can focus my efforts and not feel so bad about splurging a little. I don’t think there was any way I was going to get to Hawaii for less than $1,100 Canadian and even that’s a pretty conservative estimate. After the incredibly expensive concert tickets and the plan to stay somewhere very nice in San Francisco this trip is edging towards that total as well. Taking 2 trips of that cost in one year is a little crazy, taking one is much more reasonable especially when that amount represents two people rather than Hawaii when it just represented my cost.
Plus this will hopefully make London 2010 easier to pull off. Jon’s pretty excited about going to London.
Alternatively I put the NIE for the San Francisco trip at 100%.
